MPT in a Black Swan Universe
from Financial Advisor Magazine: Advisors need to consider how catastrophic events could help portfolios outperform.
More than one year after the collapse of Lehman Brothers and the subsequent meltdown in the financial markets, many long-held investment tenets are now being questioned. The validity and utility of modern portfolio theory as the prescription for prudent portfolio management is being re-examined. Dealing with this issue and developing solutions to cope with the revelation of newly uncovered risk is imperative if we are to successfully guide our clients through this tumult. It is equally imperative for our own survival to meet this challenge directly and develop strategies to navigate the financial minefield.
With two major declines over the past eight years, the stock market is on pace to underperform every decade over the past century, including the 1930s. During this time, modern portfolio theory represented the investment methodology most widely employed by advisors. It mandated a strategy of allocating funds to a wide array of asset classes in an effort to lower risk. The Holy Grail was to identify lowly correlated or even negatively correlated assets that would allow a portfolio to withstand the most severe declines. More -> http://www.famag.com/component/content/article/4615.html?issue=115&magazineID=1&Itemid=73